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Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00
Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48
Fax direction           02.62.92.11.47


WTIO22 FMEE 300600
SECURITE
NEAR GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S)
ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 30/11/2006 AT 0600 UTC.
WARNING NUMBER: 012/02 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT)
(WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND).
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA)
(INDICATIVE FIGURE).

NEAR GALE WARNING
BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: THURSDAY 30/11/2006 AT 0600 UTC.

PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 2 997 HPA
POSITION: WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF POINT 12.1S / 41.9E
(TWELVE DECIMAL ONE DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY ONE DECIMAL NINE DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC
MOVEMENT: SOUTH 5 KT

THREAT AREAS:
SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 100 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 250 NM IN THE EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE.

NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE, LOCALLY REACHING 30/35 KT IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE WITHIN 90 NM FROM THE CENTRE.
STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY:
12H, VALID 2006/11/30 AT 18 UTC:
13.1S / 41.9E, MAX WIND = 40 KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM.
24H, VALID 2006/12/01 AT 06 UTC:
14.3S / 41.5E, MAX WIND = 40 KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM.

OTHER INFORMATIONS:
THE CONVECTIVE (THUNDERY) ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED TO SYSTEM NR 02 IS POORLY ORGANIZED BUT REMAINS RATHER STRONG AND EXTENDS EAST OF THE LOW LEVEL CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION, ESPECIALLY OVER THE COMOROS ARCHIPELAGO.
THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO KEEP ON TRACKING SOUTHWARDS ; AN INTENSIFICATION IS POSSIBLE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS, BUT THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN AFTER THAT.