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Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00
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Fax direction           02.62.92.11.47


WTIO20 FMEE 171200
SECURITE
WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S)
ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 17/12/2006 AT 1200 UTC.
WARNING NUMBER: 001/03 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT)
(WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND).
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA)
(INDICATIVE FIGURE).

WARNING
BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: SUNDAY 17/12/2006 AT 1200 UTC.

PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 3 1002 HPA
POSITION: WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 10.3S / 65.5E
(TEN DECIMAL THREE DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY FIVE DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC
MOVEMENT: SOUTH-WEST 5 KT

THREAT AREAS:
SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 200NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER, MAINLY IN THE NORTHWESTERN QUADRANT.

CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 20/25KT AND ROUGH TO MODERATE SEAS. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY:
12H, VALID 2006/12/18 AT 00 UTC:
10.7S / 64.0E, MAX WIND = 25 KT, TROP. DEPRESSION.
24H, VALID 2006/12/18 AT 12 UTC:
11.0S / 62.0E, MAX WIND = 30 KT, TROP. DEPRESSION.

OTHER INFORMATIONS:
CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR A PROGRESSIVE INTENSIFICATION OF THE SYSTEM. AT THIS STAGE, THE INTENSITY DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF REGULAR WARNINGS.