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Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00 Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48 Fax direction           02.62.92.11.47

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WTIO20 FMEE 180000
SECURITE
WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S)
ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 18/12/2006 AT 0000 UTC.
WARNING NUMBER: 2/3 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT)
(WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND).
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA)
(INDICATIVE FIGURE).

WARNING
BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: MONDAY 18/12/2006 AT 0000 UTC.

PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 3 1003 HPA
POSITION: WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 10.8S / 64.5E
(TEN DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY FOUR DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC
MOVEMENT: WEST-SOUTH-WEST 4 KT

THREAT AREAS:
SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 120 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE, BUT EXTENDS UP TO 250 NM IN THE EASTERN SECTOR.

CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 15 TO 25KT LIKELY REACHING LOCALLY NEAR GALE FORCE 30 KT IN THE SOUTHERN SECTOR DUE TO PRESSURE GRADIENT WITH THE RIDGE TO THE SOUTH. MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY:
12H, VALID 2006/12/18 AT 12 UTC:
11.1S / 63.3E, MAX WIND = 25 KT, TROP. DISTURBANCE.
24H, VALID 2006/12/19 AT 00 UTC:
11.4S / 61.7E, MAX WIND = 30 KT, TROP. DEPRESSION.

OTHER INFORMATIONS:
SYSTEM REMAINING AT AN EMBRYONIC STAGE WITH NO SIGNIFICANT EVOLUTION OBSERVED DURING PAST 12H. CONVECTION STILL FLUCTUATING AND LOOSELY ORGANISED. SOME POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT HOWEVER EXISTS.