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Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00 Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48 Fax direction           02.62.92.11.47

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WTIO20 FMEE 180600
SECURITE
WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S)
ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 18/12/2006 AT 0600 UTC.
WARNING NUMBER: 003/03 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT)
(WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND).
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA)
(INDICATIVE FIGURE).

WARNING
BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: MONDAY 18/12/2006 AT 0600 UTC.

PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 3 1000 HPA
POSITION: 11.0S / 64.0E
(ELEVEN DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY FOUR DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC
MOVEMENT: WEST-SOUTH-WEST 5 KT

THREAT AREAS:
SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 150 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE, BUT EXTENDS UP TO 300 NM IN THE EASTERN SECTOR.

CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 20 TO 25KT, LOCALLY REACHING NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT IN THE SOUTHERN SECTOR DUE TO GRADIENT EFFECT WITH THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE IN THE SOUTH. MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS.
STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY:
12H, VALID 2006/12/18 AT 18 UTC:
11.1S / 62.8E, MAX WIND = 30 KT, TROP. DEPRESSION.
24H, VALID 2006/12/19 AT 06 UTC:
11.2S / 61.3E, MAX WIND = 30 KT, TROP. DEPRESSION.

OTHER INFORMATIONS:
SYSTEM HAS ORGANIZED OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS, WITHIN A QUITE FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT, AND SHOULD KEEP ON TRACKING MAINLY WESTWARDS, ACCELERATING.