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Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00 Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48 Fax direction           02.62.92.11.47

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WTIO24 FMEE 251800
SECURITE
WARNING FOR METAREA VII
ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 25/12/2006 AT 1800 UTC.
WARNING NUMBER: 033/03 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT)
(WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND).
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA)
(INDICATIVE FIGURE).

WARNING
BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: MONDAY 25/12/2006 AT 1800 UTC.

PHENOMENON: OVERLAND DEPRESSION 3 (EX-BONDO)
POSITION: WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 16.3S / 46.2E
(SIXTEEN DECIMAL THREE DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY SIX DECIMAL TWO DEGREES EAST) AT 1800 UTC
MOVEMENT: SOUTH-SOUTH-WEST 8 KT

THREAT AREAS:
SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS UP TO 100 NM FROM THE WESTERN MALAGASY COASTLINE BETWEEN 13S AND 18S.

GALE FORCE WINDS 35 KT AND VERY ROUGH SEAS UP TO 40 NM FROM THE WESTERN MALAGASY COASTALINE BETWEEN 15S AND 17S.
NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS UP TO 50 NM FROM THE WESTERN MALAGASY COASTLINE BETWEEN 15S AND 17S.
STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY:
12H, VALID 2006/12/26 AT 06 UTC:
17.5S / 45.1E, OVERLAND.
24H, VALID 2006/12/26 AT 18 UTC:
19.8S / 43.7E, MAX WIND = 30 KT, TROP. DEPRESSION.

OTHER INFORMATIONS:
THE SYSTEM MAKES A LANDFALL IN THE VICINITY OF MAHAJUNGA AT 1215UTC.
IT IS FORECASTED TO BE BACK OVER WATER BETWEEN BESALAMPY AND MORONDAVA OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
DESPITE LANDFALLING, NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS STILL SHOULD BLOW ALONG WESTERN MALAGASY COASTLINE BETWEEN 15S AND 18S.