Back to the marine advisories list
Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00
Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48
Fax direction           02.62.92.11.47


WTIO24 FMEE 260600 CCA
*************** CORRECTIVE **************
SECURITE
WARNING FOR METAREA VII
ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 26/12/2006 AT 0600 UTC.
WARNING NUMBER: 035/03 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT)
(WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND).
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA)
(INDICATIVE FIGURE).

WARNING
BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: TUESDAY 26/12/2006 AT 0600 UTC.

PHENOMENON: OVERLAND DEPRESSION 3 (EX-BONDO)
POSITION: WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 18.5S / 45.2E
(EIGHTEEN DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY FIVE DECIMAL TWO DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC
MOVEMENT: SOUTH-SOUTH-WEST 12 KT

THREAT AREAS:
SQUALLY WEATHER COULD EXTEND LOCALLU UP TO 300 NM FROM THE CENTER.

CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 15/25KT, REACHING LOCALLY NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30KT, AND MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS ALONG WESTERN MALAGASY COASTS BEWEEN 17S AND 20S.
STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY:
12H, VALID 2006/12/26 AT 18 UTC:
20.8S / 44.3E, MAX WIND = 25 KT, OVERLAND.
24H, VALID 2006/12/27 AT 06 UTC:
23.0S / 44.0E, MAX WIND = 20 KT, OVERLAND.

OTHER INFORMATIONS:
THE SYSTEM HAS MADE LANDFALL IN THE VICINITY OF MAHAJUNGA THE 12/25 AT 1215UTC.
IT IS RAPIDLY DIZORGANIZING OVER LANDS, AS IT TRACKS WITH ACCELERATION SOUTHSOUTHWESTWARD.
IT SHOULD DISSIPATE OVERLAND WITHIN THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS.
NEVERTHELESS, IT IS NOT IMPOSSIBLE FOR THE RESIDUAL LOW LEVEL CENTER TO GO BACK OVER SEA IN THE VIVINITY OF MORONDAVE, EVEN IF IT IS NOT THE ACTUAL FORECAST.

THIS WARNING IS THE LAST WARNING ISSUED ABOUT THAT SYSTEM UNLESS REINTENSIFICATION OVER SEA.
HOWEVER, THE RESIDUAL LOW OVERLAND WILL STILL BE FOLLOWED IN THE RSMC BULLETINS (WTIO30).