Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
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WTIO24 FMEE 261200 CCA *************** CORRECTIVE ************** SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VII ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 26/12/2006 AT 1200 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 036/03 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEAS LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: TUESDAY 26/12/2006 AT 1200 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 3 (EX-BONDO) 1003 HPA POSITION: 19.9S / 43.6E (NINETEEN DECIMAL NINE DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY THREE DECIMAL SIX DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH-SOUTH-WEST 15 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER COULD EXTEND LOCALLU UP TO 300 NM FROM THE CENTER. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 15/25KT, REACHING LOCALLY NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30KT, AND MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS ALONG WESTERN MALAGASY COASTS BEWEEN 17S AND 20S. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2006/12/27 AT 00 UTC: 22.8S / 43.0E, MAX WIND = 20 KT, FILLING UP. 24H, VALID 2006/12/27 AT 12 UTC: 25.3S / 43.0E, MAX WIND = 20 KT, FILLING UP. OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE MINMUM OF THE RESIDUAL CIRCULATION OF EX-BONDO HAS CAME BACK OVER SEA NORTH OF MORONDAVE (IT IS A "NEW" LOW, GENERATED IN THE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OF EX-BONDO; THE MAIN LOW WICH HAD MADE LANDFALL YESTERDAY HAS DISSIPATED DURING LMAST NIGHT OVER LAND). THE ASSOCIATED CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION IS BADLY DEFINED AND NOT LOCATED UNDER DEEP CONVECTION (THUNDERY CLOUDS). DESPITE ITS LOCATEION OVER VERY WARM WATERS, THE POTENTIAL FOR A SIGNIFICANT RE-INTENSIFICATION IS POOR DUE TO VERY POOR INFLOWS IN LOW LEVEL. NEVERTHELESS, IF THE SYSTEM GENERATES WEAK WINDS, IT IS STILL ASSOCIATED TO HEAVY RAINFALLS, EVEN FAR FROM THE CENTER. THIS IS THE LAST WARNING ISSUED ABOUT THAT SYSTEM UNLESS RE-INTENSIFICATION..