Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00
Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48
Fax direction           02.62.92.11.47

WTIO22 FMEE 270600 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 27/12/2006 AT 0600 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 007/04 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: WEDNESDAY 27/12/2006 AT 0600 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 4 1000 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 9.0S / 57.1E (NINE DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY SEVEN DECIMAL ONE DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT: WEST-SOUTH-WEST 9 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 50 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 300/350 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE WESTERN AND SOUTHERN QUADRANTS. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 15/25 KT AND MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE, LOCALLY REACHING NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS UP TO 100 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2006/12/27 AT 18 UTC: 9.6S / 55.7E, MAX WIND = 25 KT, TROP. DISTURBANCE. 24H, VALID 2006/12/28 AT 06 UTC: 10.4S / 54.5E, MAX WIND = 30 KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE ENVIRONMENT IS NOT YET TOTALLY FAVOURABLE FOR THE INTENSIFICATION OF THIS TROPICAL DISTURBANCE, BUT IT IS EXPECTED TO IMPROVE WITHIN THE NEXT FEW DAYS. THE THUNDERY ACTIVITY IS RATHER INTENSE WEST AND SOUTH OF THE DISTURBANCE. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO KEEP ON TRACKING MAINLY SOUTHWESTWARDS, INTENSIFYING GRADUALLY.