Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00
Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48
Fax direction           02.62.92.11.47

WTIO22 FMEE 281800 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 28/12/2006 AT 1800 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 012/04 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: THURSDAY 28/12/2006 AT 1800 UTC. PHENOMENON: ZONE OF DISTURBED WEATHER 4 1002 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF POINT 10.5S / 54.2E (TEN DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY FOUR DECIMAL TWO DEGREES EAST) AT 1800 UTC MOVEMENT: WEST-SOUTH-WEST THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 200 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER, MAINLY IN THE WESTERN AND EASTERN QUADRANTS, AND EXTENDING UP TO 450 NM FROM THE CENTER IN THE EASTERN SECTOR. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 15/25 KT AND MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE, REACHING LOCALLY 30KT UNDER SQUALLS . STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2006/12/29 AT 06 UTC: 10.7S / 53.4E, MAX WIND = 25 KT, TROP. DISTURBANCE. 24H, VALID 2006/12/29 AT 18 UTC: 11.2S / 52.5E, MAX WIND = 30 KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. OTHER INFORMATIONS: THIS SYSTEM REMAINS POORLY ORGANIZED, THE CENTRE IS RELOCATED IN ORDER TO COMPLY WITH RECENT SATELLITE DATA. THE CONVECTION IS PERSISTENT BUT STILL DISTANT FROM THE ESTIMATED CENTRE. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO KEEP ON TRACKING MAINLY SOUTHWESTWARDS, INTENSIFYING GRADUALLY AFTER TAU 36. AT THIS STAGE, THE SYSTEM INTENSITY DOES NOT REQUIRE ISSUANCE OF REGULAR WARNINGS.