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Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00
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WTIO22 FMEE 291800
SECURITE
WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S)
ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 29/12/2006 AT 1800 UTC.
WARNING NUMBER: 002/05 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT)
(WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND).
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA)
(INDICATIVE FIGURE).

WARNING
BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: FRIDAY 29/12/2006 AT 1800 UTC.

PHENOMENON: ZONE OF DISTURBED WEATHER 5 1005 HPA
POSITION: WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 12.2S / 57.7E
(TWELVE DECIMAL TWO DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY SEVEN DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES EAST) AT 1800 UTC
MOVEMENT: SOUTH-SOUTH-WEST 3 KT

THREAT AREAS:
SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 130 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER, EXTENDING UP TO 300 MN IN THE NORTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE

CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 15/20KT AND MODERATE SEAS NEAR THE CENTER, REACHING LOCALLY 30KT UNDER SQUALLS.
STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY:
12H, VALID 2006/12/30 AT 06 UTC:
12.6S / 57.6E, MAX WIND = 20 KT, TROP. DISTURBANCE.
24H, VALID 2006/12/30 AT 18 UTC:
12.9S / 57.3E, MAX WIND = 25 KT, TROP. DISTURBANCE.

OTHER INFORMATIONS:
LAST SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS NOW A NEW CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION ORGANIZED AROUND A NEW CENTER APPEARING TO BE THE MAIN.
THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO KEEPS ON TRACKING SLOWLY SOUTHWARDS THEN SOUTHWESTWARDS , INTENSIFYING PROGRESSIVELY.
AT THIS STAGE, THE SYSTEM INTENSITY DOES NOT REQUIRE ISSUANCE OF REGULAR WARNINGS.