Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00
Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48
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WTIO22 FMEE 301200 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 30/12/2006 AT 1200 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 005/05 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: SATURDAY 30/12/2006 AT 1200 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 5 1000 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 13.0S / 56.0E (THIRTEEN DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY SIX DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT: WEST-SOUTH-WEST 5 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 100 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER, EXTENDING UP TO 250 MN IN THE WESTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 20/25KT AND MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTER, REACHING LOCALLY 30KTIN THE SOUTHERN SECTOR. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2006/12/31 AT 00 UTC: 13.1S / 55.4E, MAX WIND = 30 KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 24H, VALID 2006/12/31 AT 12 UTC: 13.3S / 54.9E, MAX WIND = 30 KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE SYSTEM HAS ORGANIZED OVER THE LAST HOURS, WITH CONVECTION FORMING OVER THE ESTIMATED CENTRE. THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO TRACK SLOWLY WEST-SOUTHWESTWARDS OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS, THEN SOUTHWESTWARDS, GRADUALLY INTENSIFYING. SYSTEM INTENSITY DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF REGULAR WARNINGS.