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Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00
Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48
Fax direction           02.62.92.11.47


WTIO22 FMEE 310000
SECURITE
WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S)
ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 31/12/2006 AT 0000 UTC.
WARNING NUMBER: 007/05 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT)
(WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND).
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA)
(INDICATIVE FIGURE).

WARNING
BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: SUNDAY 31/12/2006 AT 0000 UTC.

PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 5 1000 HPA
POSITION: WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF POINT 13.6S / 55.4E
(THIRTEEN DECIMAL SIX DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY FIVE DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC
MOVEMENT: SOUTH-WEST 5 KT

THREAT AREAS:
SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 150 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER, EXTENDING UP TO 350 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT.

CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 20/25KT AND MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTER, REACHING LOCALLY 30KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE UP TO 90 NM FROM THE CENTER.
STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY:
12H, VALID 2006/12/31 AT 12 UTC:
14.1S / 54.6E, MAX WIND = 30 KT, TROP. DEPRESSION.
24H, VALID 2007/01/01 AT 00 UTC:
14.6S / 54.1E, MAX WIND = 35 KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM.

OTHER INFORMATIONS:
THE SYSTEM IS GETTING ORGANIZED SLOWLY ; IT IS EXPETCED TO KEEP ON TRACKING MAINLY SOUTHWESTWARDS OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS, AND THEN MAINLY SOUTH-SOUTHWEST, INTENSIFYING GRADUALLY.