Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00
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WTIO22 FMEE 311800 SECURITE STORM WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 31/12/2006 AT 1800 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 010/05 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). STORM WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: SUNDAY 31/12/2006 AT 1800 UTC. PHENOMENON: SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 5 (CLOVIS) 980 HPA POSITION: 15.8S / 54.3E (FIFTEEN DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY FOUR DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) AT 1800 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH-SOUTH-WEST 10 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 100 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER, EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO 250 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STORM FORCE WINDS 50/60KT AND VERY HIGH SEAS WITHIN 30NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 50 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER EXTENDING UP TO 60 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 80 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER, EXTENDING UP TO 110 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2007/01/01 AT 06 UTC: 17.4S / 53.8E, MAX WIND = 70 KT, TROPICAL CYCLONE. 24H, VALID 2007/01/01 AT 18 UTC: 18.6S / 53.4E, MAX WIND = 80 KT, TROPICAL CYCLONE. OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE SYSTEM HAS INTENSIFIED DURING THE LAST HOURS, REACHING THE INTENSITY OF SEVERE TROPICAL STORM, AT THE LIMIT OF CYCLONE INTENSITY; THE CENTER HAS TRANSITED NORTHWEST OF TROMELIN ISLAND DURING THE LAST HOUR, WHERE IT HAS BEEN RECORDED 54 KT (10 MIN AVERAGE MAX WINDS), WITH GUSTS OF 70KT. IT IS EXPECTED TO KEEP ON TRACKING GLOBALLY SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARDS , INTENSIFYING GRADUALLY AND THEN SLOW DOWN AND RECURVE SOUTHWESTWARDS BEYOND 48H TO 72H.