Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00
Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48
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WTIO22 FMEE 011800 SECURITE STORM WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 01/01/2007 AT 1800 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 014/05 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). STORM WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: MONDAY 01/01/2007 AT 1800 UTC. PHENOMENON: SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 5 (CLOVIS) 984 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 18.6S / 52.1E (EIGHTEEN DECIMAL SIX DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY TWO DECIMAL ONE DEGREES EAST) AT 1800 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH-WEST 8 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 100 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER, EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO 250 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STORM FORCE WINDS 50KT AND HIGH TO VERY HIGH SEAS WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 70 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER EXTENDING UP TO 100 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 90 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER, EXTENDING UP TO 120 NM IN THE SOUTHWESTERN QUADRANT AND UP TO 160 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2007/01/02 AT 06 UTC: 19.5S / 51.3E, MAX WIND = 50 KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 24H, VALID 2007/01/02 AT 18 UTC: 20.6S / 50.4E, MAX WIND = 50 KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. OTHER INFORMATIONS: CLOVIS INTENSITY IS STATIONNARY BUT CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY HAS CONSOLIDATED NEAR THE CENTER OVER THE RECENT PAST HOURS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO KEEP ON TRACKING GLOBALLY SOUTHWESTWARDS AND THEN SLOW DOWN LINKED TO THE REBUILDING HIGH PRESSURES IN THE SOUTHWEST. IT IS FORECASTED TO MAKE A LANDFALL OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN MALAGASY COASTLINE WITHIN 3 DAYS AT WEAKENING MODERATE TROPICAL STROM STAGE.