Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00
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WTIO22 FMEE 020600 SECURITE STORM WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 02/01/2007 AT 0600 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 016/05 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). STORM WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: TUESDAY 02/01/2007 AT 0600 UTC. PHENOMENON: SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 5 (CLOVIS) 978 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 19.8S / 50.9E (NINETEEN DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY DECIMAL NINE DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH-WEST 7 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 100 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER, EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO 300 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STORM FORCE WINDS 50/60 KT AND HIGH TO VERY HIGH SEAS WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 70 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER EXTENDING UP TO 100 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 90 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER, EXTENDING UP TO 120 NM IN THE SOUTHWESTERN QUADRANT AND UP TO 160 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2007/01/02 AT 18 UTC: 21.2S / 49.7E, MAX WIND = 55 KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 24H, VALID 2007/01/03 AT 06 UTC: 22.6S / 48.4E, MAX WIND = 50 KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE RECENT ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS AN ENHANCED CONVECTIVE (THUNDERY) ACTIVITY NEAR THE CENTER DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS. THE SYSTEM "CLOVIS" IS EXPECTED TO KEEP ON TRACKING MAINLY SOUTHWESTWARDS AND TO MAKE LANDFALL OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN MALAGASY COASTLINE WITHIN 24 TO 36 HOURS.