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B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
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WTIO24 FMEE 031200
SECURITE
GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VII
ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 03/01/2007 AT 1200 UTC.
WARNING NUMBER: 021/05 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT)
(WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND).
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA)
(INDICATIVE FIGURE).

GALE WARNING
BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: WEDNESDAY 03/01/2007 AT 1200 UTC.

PHENOMENON: OVERLAND DEPRESSION 5 (EX-CLOVIS) 990 HPA
POSITION: WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF POINT 20.8S / 48.4E
(TWENTY DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY EIGHT DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC
MOVEMENT: SOUTH-WEST 3 KT

THREAT AREAS:
SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 200 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER MAINLY IN THE NORTHWESTERN QUADRANT.

GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS EXTENDING UP TO 80 NM FROM THE CENTER.
NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS EXTENDING UP TO 120 NM FROM THE CENTER.
STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY:
12H, VALID 2007/01/04 AT 00 UTC:
21.2S / 48.2E, MAX WIND = 30 KT, OVERLAND.
24H, VALID 2007/01/04 AT 12 UTC:
21.5S / 48.0E, MAX WIND = 25 KT, DISSIPATING.

OTHER INFORMATIONS:
CLOVIS SEEMS TO HAVE JUST MADE LANDFALL NORTH OF MANANJARY. THE SIGNALED LOCATION IS UNCERTAIN DUE TO UNCLEAR MICRO-WAVE IMAGERY.
NEVERTHELESS, THE SURE TENDANCY IS THE WEAKENING OF THE SYSTEM, WITH AN INCREASING SOUTHWEST VERTICAL WINDSHEAR WICH IS DIZORGANIZING THE CONVECTION.

THE SYSTEM IS FORCASTED TO WEAKEN RAPIDLY, EITHER OVER LAND OR NEAR COASTLINE, DURING THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.