Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00
Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48
Fax direction           02.62.92.11.47

WTIO24 FMEE 081200 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VII ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 08/01/2007 AT 1200 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 002/06 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: MONDAY 08/01/2007 AT 1200 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 6 999 HPA POSITION: 23.0S / 42.9E (TWENTY THREE DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY TWO DECIMAL NINE DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH-SOUTH-EAST 5 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 50 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 90 NM IN THE EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 20/25 KT AND MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, LOCALLY REACHING 30 KT IN THE NORTHEASTERN PART OF THE SYSTEM. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2007/01/09 AT 00 UTC: 23.6S / 43.3E, MAX WIND = 25 KT, TROP. DISTURBANCE. 24H, VALID 2007/01/09 AT 12 UTC: 24.1S / 44.0E, MAX WIND = 25 KT, OVERLAND. OTHER INFORMATIONS: THUNDERY ACTIVITY HAS REBUILT NEAR THE CENTRE BUT REMAINS INORGANIZED. THE LOW LEVEL CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION IS BETTER DEFINED. ENVIRONMENT IS NOT FAVOURABLE TO AN INTENSIFICATION OF THE SYSTEM. IT IS FORECASTED TO MAKE A LANDFALL AT A WEAK STAGE IN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS BETWEEN TOLIARA ET ITAMPOLO. AT THIS STAGE, THIS SYTEM DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF REGULAR WARNINGS.