Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00
Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48
Fax direction           02.62.92.11.47

WTIO20 FMEE 290000 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 29/01/2007 AT 0000 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 004/07 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: MONDAY 29/01/2007 AT 0000 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 7 1000 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 10.6S / 66.9E (TEN DECIMAL SIX DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY SIX DECIMAL NINE DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH 7 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 180 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, MAINLY IN THE NORTHWESTERN QUADRANT, EXTENDING UP TO 500 NM IN THE NORHTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 25 KT REACHING LOCALLY 30 KT AND MODERATE TO LOCALLY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 120 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2007/01/29 AT 12 UTC: 12.0S / 66.2E, MAX WIND = 30 KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 24H, VALID 2007/01/30 AT 00 UTC: 13.0S / 65.6E, MAX WIND = 35 KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM. OTHER INFORMATIONS: CLOUDS ASSOCIATED TO THE SYSTEM ORGANIZE BETTER OVER THE CENTER DURING THE LAST HOURS. ENVIRONMENT ARE QUITE GOOD FOR INTENSIFICATION IN THE UPPER LEVELS, AND THE LOW LEVELS ENVIRONMENT BECOMES MORE FAVOURABLE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS, AS THE TRADES FLOW IMPROVES SOUTH TO THE SYSTEM. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO TRACK GENERALLY SOUTHWARDS, SLOWING DOWN AND INTENSIFYING SLOWLY