Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00
Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48
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WTIO20 FMEE 301800 SECURITE STORM WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 30/01/2007 AT 1800 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 011/07 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). STORM WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: TUESDAY 30/01/2007 AT 1800 UTC. PHENOMENON: SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 7 (DORA) 975 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 13.3S / 65.5E (THIRTEEN DECIMAL THREE DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY FIVE DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST) AT 1800 UTC MOVEMENT: QUASI-STATIONARY THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 120 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 250 NM IN THE NORTHEASTERN QUADRANT. STORM FORCE WINDS 50/60KT AND HIGH SEAS WITHIN 3 0 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 80 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 110 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE EXTENDING UP TO 160 NM IN THE NORTHEASTERN QUADRANT. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2007/01/31 AT 06 UTC: 13.6S / 65.3E, MAX WIND = 60 KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 24H, VALID 2007/01/31 AT 18 UTC: 14.2S / 65.0E, MAX WIND = 65 KT, TROPICAL CYCLONE. OTHER INFORMATIONS: DORA HAS BEEN ALSMOST-STATIONNARY DURING LAST HOURS. IT SHOULD TRACK AND INTENSIFY SLOWLY SOUTHWARDS. THE FORECAST IS A CONSENSUS OF SEVERAL DIFFERENTS SCENARII OF NWM PRODUCTS.