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B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
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WTIO20 FMEE 050000
SECURITE
STORM WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S)
ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 05/02/2007 AT 0000 UTC.
WARNING NUMBER: 032/07 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT)
(WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND).
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA)
(INDICATIVE FIGURE).

STORM WARNING
BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: MONDAY 05/02/2007 AT 0000 UTC.

PHENOMENON: SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 7 (DORA) 978 HPA
POSITION: WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 19.3S / 66.5E
(NINETEEN DECIMAL THREE DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY SIX DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC
MOVEMENT: QUASI-STATIONARY

THREAT AREAS:
SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 70 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER, EXTENDING UP TO 120 NM IN THE EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE AND ALSO WITHIN PERIPHERICS CONVECTIVE BANDS EXISTING IN THE NORTHEASTERN QUADRANT BETWEEN 250 NM AND 600 NM FROM THE CENTER.

STORM FORCE WINDS 50/60KT AND HIGH TO VERY HIGH SEAS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER.
GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER.
NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 110 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER.
STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY:
12H, VALID 2007/02/05 AT 12 UTC:
19.6S / 65.4E, MAX WIND = 50 KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM.
24H, VALID 2007/02/06 AT 00 UTC:
20.2S / 64.3E, MAX WIND = 50 KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM.

OTHER INFORMATIONS:
DORA IS ALMOST-STATIONNARY SINCE ABOUT 24 HOURS, WHAT IS THE MAIN REASON OF ITS WEAKENING.
IT IS EXPECTED TO TRACK SLOWLY GLOBALLY SOUTHWESTWARDS.
LINKED TO LOWERING ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS , IT SHOULD REMAIN TO GRADUALLY WEAK.