Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00
Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48
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WTIO20 FMEE 050600 SECURITE STORM WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 05/02/2007 AT 0600 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 033/07 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). STORM WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: MONDAY 05/02/2007 AT 0600 UTC. PHENOMENON: SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 7 (DORA) 980 HPA POSITION: 19.1S / 66.0E (NINETEEN DECIMAL ONE DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY SIX DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT: WEST 2 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER, EXTENDING UP TO 120 NM IN THE EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE AND ALSO WITHIN PERIPHERIC CONVECTIVE BANDS EXISTING IN THE NORTHEASTERN QUADRANT BETWEEN 250 NM AND 600 NM FROM THE CENTER. STORM FORCE WINDS 50/55 KT AND HIGH TO VERY HIGH SEAS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 70 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER, EXTENDING UP TO 100 NM IN THE SOUTHWESTERN QUADRANT AND UP TO 150 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2007/02/05 AT 18 UTC: 19.1S / 64.8E, MAX WIND = 55 KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 24H, VALID 2007/02/06 AT 06 UTC: 19.6S / 64.0E, MAX WIND = 50 KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. OTHER INFORMATIONS: DORA IS ALMOST-STATIONARY SINCE 24 HOURS, AND THIS IS LIKELY THE MAIN REASON FOR ITS WEAKENING. IT IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY TRACK GLOBALLY SOUTHWESTWARDS AND SHOULD KEEP ON GRADUALLY WEAKENING. STRONG WINDS EXTEND FAR FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CICRCLE DUE TO GRADIENT EFFECT WITH SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES.