Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00
Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48
Fax direction           02.62.92.11.47

WTIO20 FMEE 071200 CCA *************** CORRECTIVE ************** SECURITE GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 07/02/2007 AT 1200 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 042/07 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: WEDNESDAY 07/02/2007 AT 1200 UTC. PHENOMENON: MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 7 ( DORA) 990 HPA POSITION: 22.3S / 63.3E (TWENTY TWO DECIMAL THREE DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY THREE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH 5 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS IN 60NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER, EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO MORE THAN 300NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/40KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER, EXTENDING UP TO 70 NM FROM THE CENTER IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 70 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER, EXTENDING UP TO 150 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2007/02/08 AT 00 UTC: 23.0S / 63.0E, MAX WIND = 35 KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM. 24H, VALID 2007/02/08 AT 12 UTC: 24.0S / 62.5E, MAX WIND = 30 KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. OTHER INFORMATIONS: DEEP CONVECTION (THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY) IS FLUCTUATING NEAR THE CENTER, IN A STRONGLY WESTERLY VERTICAL WINDSHEAR ENVIRONMENT. IT REBUILDS CYCLICALLY ABOVE THE LOW LEVEL CENTER, AS IT OCCURED DURING LAST HOURS, BEFORE BEING "EJECTED" EASTWARDS. THE LOW LEVEL CENTER AS TRACKED GLOBALLY SOUTHWARDS DURING THE 6 LAST HOURS. AS IT WEAKEN, THE SYSTEM SHOULD CURVE MORE SOUTHWESTWARDS ON THE NORTHERN EDGE OF SUBTROPICAL HIGH. DEEP CONVECTION (THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY) IS FLUCTUATING NEAR THE CENTER, IN A STRONGLY WESTERLY VERTICAL WINDSHEAR ENVIRONMENT. IT REBUILDS CYCLICALLY ABOVE THE LOW LEVEL CENTER, AS IT OCCURED DURING LAST HOURS, BEFORE BEING "EJECTED" EASTWARDS. THE LOW LEVEL CENTER AS TRACKED GLOBALLY SOUTHWARDS DURING THE 6 LAST HOURS. AS IT WEAKEN, THE SYSTEM SHOULD CURVE MORE SOUTHWESTWARDS ON THE NORTHERN EDGE OF SUBTROPICAL HIGH.