Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00
Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48
Fax direction           02.62.92.11.47

WTIO22 FMEE 081800 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 08/02/2007 AT 1800 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 001/08 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: THURSDAY 08/02/2007 AT 1800 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 8 1001 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 15.9S / 51.8E (FIFTEEN DECIMAL NINE DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY ONE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES EAST) AT 1800 UTC MOVEMENT: QUASI-STATIONARY THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 110 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 20/25KT AND MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS AROUND THE CENTER, REACHING LOCALLY NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30KT. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2007/02/09 AT 06 UTC: 15.5S / 52.5E, MAX WIND = 30 KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 24H, VALID 2007/02/09 AT 18 UTC: 15.4S / 53.1E, MAX WIND = 35 KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM. OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE SYSTEM IS INTENSIFYING SLOWLY NEAR MALAGASY COASTS, WITH DEEP CONVECTION FLARING AND STARTING TO ORGANIZE ABOVE THE CENTER. AT THIS STAGE, THIS SYSTEM DOES'NT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF REGULAR WARNINGS.