Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00
Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48
Fax direction           02.62.92.11.47

WTIO20 FMEE 121200 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 12/02/2007 AT 1200 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 002/09 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: MONDAY 12/02/2007 AT 1200 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 9 1002 HPA POSITION: 11.7S / 69.6E (ELEVEN DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY NINE DECIMAL SIX DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH-SOUTH-WEST 5 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 200 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER? CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 20/25 KT AND MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS AROUND THE ESTIMATED CENTER. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2007/02/13 AT 00 UTC: 12.3S / 69.0E, MAX WIND = 30 KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 24H, VALID 2007/02/13 AT 12 UTC: 13.1S / 68.1E, MAX WIND = 35 KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM. OTHER INFORMATIONS: THUNDERY ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED TO THIS SYSTEM HAS PERSISTED SINCE 24 HOURS AND STARTS TO ORGANIZE ABOVE THE LOW LEVEL CENTER. ENVIRONMENTAL ARE FAVORABLE FOR INTENSIFICATION, WHICH SHOULD REMAINS SLOW AT THE BEGINNING. THE SYSTEM SHOULD TRACK SOUTHWESTWARDS TORAWRDS MASCARENES ISLANDS.