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Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00
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WTIO20 FMEE 131200
SECURITE
WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S)
ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 13/02/2007 AT 1200 UTC.
WARNING NUMBER: 006/09 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT)
(WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND).
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA)
(INDICATIVE FIGURE).

WARNING
BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: TUESDAY 13/02/2007 AT 1200 UTC.

PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 9 1004 HPA
POSITION: WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF POINT 12.5S / 69.4E
(TWELVE DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY NINE DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC
MOVEMENT: WEST-SOUTH-WEST 6 KT

THREAT AREAS:
SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 120 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER, EXTENDING UP TO 200 NM IN THE WESTERN SECTOR AND UP TO 380 NM IN THE EASTERN SECTOR.

CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 20/25 KT AND MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE.
STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY:
12H, VALID 2007/02/14 AT 00 UTC:
13.5S / 68.9E, MAX WIND = 30 KT, TROP. DEPRESSION.
24H, VALID 2007/02/14 AT 12 UTC:
15.0S / 67.4E, MAX WIND = 35 KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM.

OTHER INFORMATIONS:
THE SYSTEM DOESN'T SIGNIFICANTLY ORGANIZE NUT IS EXPECTED TO ENCOUNTER FAVOURABLE CONDITIONS FOR AN INTENSIFICATION WITHIN 24 TO 36 HOURS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO TRACK SOUTHWESTWARDS TOWARDS THE MASCARENES ISLANDS.