Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00
Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48
Fax direction           02.62.92.11.47

WTIO20 FMEE 140000 CCA *************** CORRECTIVE ************** SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 14/02/2007 AT 0000 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 008/09 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: WEDNESDAY 14/02/2007 AT 0000 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 9 1001 HPA POSITION: 12.8S / 69.0E (TWELVE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY NINE DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC MOVEMENT: QUASI-STATIONARY THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 200 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER, EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO 300 NM IN THE EASTERN SECTOR. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 20/25 KT AND MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 90 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE, REACHING LOCALLY NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30KT NEAR THE CENTER IN THE NORTHERN SECTOR. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2007/02/14 AT 12 UTC: 13.6S / 68.2E, MAX WIND = 30 KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 24H, VALID 2007/02/15 AT 00 UTC: 14.8S / 66.8E, MAX WIND = 30 KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. OTHER INFORMATIONS: CONVECTION IS UNORGANIZED AND FLUCTUATING, POORLY CONSOLIDATED NEAR THE CENTER. WITHOUT ANY RECENT MICRO-WAVES IMAGERY, AND DUE TO THE POOR ORGANISATION OF CONVECTION, LOCATION OF THE LLCC IS NOT SURE. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO ENCOUNTER BETTER CONDITIONS FOR AN INTENSIFICATION WITHIN 24 TO 36 HOURS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO TRACK SOUTHWESTWARDS TOWARDS THE MASCARENES ISLANDS.