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B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
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WTIO20 FMEE 160000
SECURITE
GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S)
ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 16/02/2007 AT 0000 UTC.
WARNING NUMBER: 16/9 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT)
(WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND).
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA)
(INDICATIVE FIGURE).

GALE WARNING
BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: FRIDAY 16/02/2007 AT 0000 UTC.

PHENOMENON: MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 9 (FAVIO) 992 HPA
POSITION: 21.3S / 60.3E
(TWENTY ONE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC
MOVEMENT: SOUTH-WEST 15 KT

THREAT AREAS:
SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER, EXTENDING UP TO 350 NM IN THE EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE.

GALE FORCE WINDS 35/40KT AND VERY ROUGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 20 NM IN THE EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE.
NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER, EXTENDING UP TO 150 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE.
STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY:
12H, VALID 2007/02/16 AT 12 UTC:
23.1S / 57.9E, MAX WIND = 40 KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM.
24H, VALID 2007/02/17 AT 00 UTC:
24.5S / 55.5E, MAX WIND = 45 KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM.

OTHER INFORMATIONS:
DESPITE RATHER FAVOURABLE ENVIRONMENT, FAVIO BARELY INTENSIFIES. SINCE LAST HOURS THE CENTER IS UNDER CONVECTION.
STRONGER WINDS ARE LOCATED IN THE EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE, DUE TO THE GRADIENT WITH THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES ANCHORED IN THE SOUTHEAST, STEERING THE SYSTEM.
FAVIO IS FORECAST TO TRACK RAPIDLY ON THE NORTHWESTERN EDGE OF THESE SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES.