Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00
Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48
Fax direction           02.62.92.11.47

WTIO24 FMEE 181200 SECURITE STORM WARNING FOR METAREA VII ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 18/02/2007 AT 1200 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 026/09 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). STORM WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: SUNDAY 18/02/2007 AT 1200 UTC. PHENOMENON: SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 9 (FAVIO) 980 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 26.6S / 48.1E (TWENTY SIX DECIMAL SIX DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY EIGHT DECIMAL ONE DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT: WEST-SOUTH-WEST 11 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 100 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER. STORM FORCE WINDS 50/55KT AND HIGH TO VERY HIGH SEAS WITHIN 15 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER , EXTENDING UP TO 50 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER, EXTENDING UP TO 120 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2007/02/19 AT 00 UTC: 26.8S / 46.2E, MAX WIND = 60 KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 24H, VALID 2007/02/19 AT 12 UTC: 26.5S / 44.3E, MAX WIND = 55 KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. OTHER INFORMATIONS: SYSTEM "FAVIO" CONTINUES TO INTENSIFY. IT IS EXPECTED TO TRACK WESTWARDS THEN WEST-NORTHWESTWARDS SOUTH OF MALAGASY AND TOWARDS THE MOZAMBICAL COASTLINE WITH A FORECASTED LANDFALL DURING THE NIGHT OF WEDNESDAY TO THURSDAY. THE SYSTEM SHOULD MAKE A STAGE ABOUT INTENSITY WITHIN 12 TO 24 HOURS AND THEN SHOULD FIND GOOD CONDITIONS TO RE-INTENSIFY BEYOND 36 TO 48 HOURS.