Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
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WTIO24 FMEE 190000 SECURITE STORM WARNING FOR METAREA VII ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 19/02/2007 AT 0000 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 028/09 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). STORM WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: MONDAY 19/02/2007 AT 0000 UTC. PHENOMENON: SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 9 (FAVIO) 970 HPA POSITION: 26.6S / 46.6E (TWENTY SIX DECIMAL SIX DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY SIX DECIMAL SIX DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC MOVEMENT: WEST-SOUTH-WEST 9 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 90 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER. STORM FORCE WINDS 50/60KT AND HIGH TO VERY HIGH SEAS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 50 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 70 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER, EXTENDING UP TO 90NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2007/02/19 AT 12 UTC: 26.4S / 44.6E, MAX WIND = 60 KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 24H, VALID 2007/02/20 AT 00 UTC: 25.8S / 42.7E, MAX WIND = 65 KT, TROPICAL CYCLONE. OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE SYSTEM IS STILL SLOWLY INTENSIFYING. FAVIO IS ALMOST A TROPICAL CYCLONE. IT IS A SMALL SYSTEM, WITH A WELL DEFINED AND TIGHT CIRCULATION. MICRO-WAVES IMAGERY SHOW A WELL DEFINED EYE IN LOW LEVEL, WITH A SOLID EYE WALL BUILDIND, ALMOST CLOSED IN MID-LEVEL. THIS EYE STRUCTURE IS NOT YET EVIDENCED IN HIGH LEVEL (ON INFRA-RED IMAGERY). FAVIO IS TRACKING MORE WESTWARD. IT SHOULD PASSES SOUTH OF MADAGASCAR, AND INTENSIFIES OVER THE MOZAMBIC CHANNEL, AS IT SHOULD TRACK WESTNORTHWESTWARDS TOWARDS MOZAMBICAN COASTLINES, WITH A LANDFALL DURING THE NIGHT OF WEDNESDAY TO THURSDAY.