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WTIO24 FMEE 191200
PAN PAN
HURRICANE WARNING FOR METAREA VII
ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 19/02/2007 AT 1200 UTC.
WARNING NUMBER: 030/09 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT)
(WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND).
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA)
(INDICATIVE FIGURE).

HURRICANE WARNING
BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: MONDAY 19/02/2007 AT 1200 UTC.

PHENOMENON: TROPICAL CYCLONE 9 (FAVIO) 964 HPA
POSITION: 26.6S / 45.3E
(TWENTY SIX DECIMAL SIX DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY FIVE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC
MOVEMENT: WEST 6 KT

THREAT AREAS:
SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 90 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER, EXTENDING UP TO 160 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE.

HIRRICAN FORCE WINDS 65/70KT AND VERY HIGH SEAS WITHIN 20 NM FROM THE CENTER.
STORM FORCE WINDS 50/60KT AND HIGH TO VERY HIGH SEAS WITHIN 50 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER.
GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 70 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER.
NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 90 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER, EXTENDING UP TO 120NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE.
STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY:
12H, VALID 2007/02/20 AT 00 UTC:
26.1S / 43.5E, MAX WIND = 70 KT, TROPICAL CYCLONE.
24H, VALID 2007/02/20 AT 12 UTC:
25.6S / 41.6E, MAX WIND = 75 KT, TROPICAL CYCLONE.

OTHER INFORMATIONS:
THE SYSTEM IS STILL SLOWLY INTENSIFYING. FAVIO SHOWS NOW A EYE PATTERN, WITH A WELL CONSILIDATED EYE WALL . IT IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY SLOWLY AS ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS IMPROVE (GOOD OUTFLOW POLARWARDS AND EQUATORIALWARDS).

FAVIO IS GOING TO TRACK MORE WESTWARD TO WEST NORTHWESTWARDS. IT SHOULD INTENSIFY OVER THE MOZAMBIC CHANNEL, AS IT SHOULD TRACK WESTNORTHWESTWARDS TOWARDS MOZAMBICAN COASTLINES, WITH A LANDFALL DURING THE NIGHT OF WEDNESDAY TO THURSDAY.