Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00
Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48
Fax direction           02.62.92.11.47

WTIO24 FMEE 201800 PAN PAN HURRICANE WARNING FOR METAREA VII ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 20/02/2007 AT 1800 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 035/09 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEAS LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). HURRICANE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: TUESDAY 20/02/2007 AT 1800 UTC. PHENOMENON: INTENSE TROPICAL CYCLONE 9 (FAVIO) 930 HPA POSITION: 25.0S / 41.0E (TWENTY FIVE DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY ONE DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST) AT 1800 UTC MOVEMENT: WEST-NORTH-WEST 7 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER, EXTENDING UP TO 200 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT HURRICANE FORCE WINDS 65/100 KT AND VERY HIGH TO PHENOMENAL SEAS WITHIN 20 NM FROM THE CENTER. STORM FORCE WINDS 50/60 KT AND HIGH TO VERY HIGH SEAS WITHIN 50 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 70 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 90 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER, EXTENDING UP TO 120NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2007/02/21 AT 06 UTC: 24.4S / 39.0E, MAX WIND = 100 KT, INTENSE TROP. CYCL.. 24H, VALID 2007/02/21 AT 18 UTC: 23.6S / 37.4E, MAX WIND = 100 KT, INTENSE TROP. CYCL.. OTHER INFORMATIONS: FAVIO KEEPS ON INTENSIFYING SLOWLY WITHIN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT. IT IS A SMALL SIZE SYSTEM. FAVIO IS EXPECTED TO KEEP ON TRACKING WEST-NORTHWESTWARDS OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS TOWARDS THE AFRICAN COASTLINE AND THEN TO RECURVE NORTH-NORTHWESTWARDS ALONG THE MOZAMBICAN COASTLINE, WITH A LANDFALL FORECASTED BETWEEN VILANKULO AND BEIRA DURING THE NIGHT OF THURSDAY TO FRIDAY.