Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00
Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48
Fax direction           02.62.92.11.47

WTIO24 FMEE 221200 PAN PAN HURRICANE WARNING FOR METAREA VII ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 22/02/2007 AT 1200 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 042/09 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEAS LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). HURRICANE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: THURSDAY 22/02/2007 AT 1200 UTC. PHENOMENON: INTENSE TROPICAL CYCLONE 9 (FAVIO) 935 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 21.7S / 35.0E (TWENTY ONE DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES SOUTH AND THIRTY FIVE DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT: NORTH-WEST 10 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 120 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER EXTENDING UP OVERLAND TO 170 NM IN THE SOUTHWESTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS 65/90 KT AND VERY HIGH TO PHENOMENAL SEAS WITHIN 20 NM FROM THE CENTER IN THE EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STORM FORCE WINDS 50/60 KT AND HIGH TO VERY HIGH SEAS WITHIN 50 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER IN THE EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER IN THE EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 90 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER IN THE NORTHEASTERN QUADRANT, EXTENDING UP TO 120 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2007/02/23 AT 00 UTC: 19.9S / 33.7E, MAX WIND = 60 KT, OVERLAND. 24H, VALID 2007/02/23 AT 12 UTC: 18.0S / 32.1E, MAX WIND = 40 KT, OVERLAND. OTHER INFORMATIONS: SYSTEM HAS OVERLANDED NEAR INHASSORO (A LITTLE BIT IN THE NORTH OF VILANCULOS) AFTER IT HAS CROSSED THE BAZURETO ISLAND. ADD TO STRONG WINDS AND HEAVY RAINFALL, THE STORM SURGE AND CYCLONIC SWELL SHOULD MAKE HAVOC IN THE VILANCULOS BAY. FAVIO IS EXEPECTED TO KEEP ON TRACKING NORTHWESTWARDS AND WEAKEN OVERLAND . HEAVY RAIN AND STRONG WINDS SHOULD HOWEVER CONCERN THE CITY OF BEIRA DURING THE NEXT 12 HOURS. DURING ITS TRACK OVERLAND TOWARDS HARARE (ZIMBABWE), FAVIO SHOULD GENERATE HEAVY RAINS OVER SOME AFFLUENTS OF THE ZAMBEZI RIVER AND SHOULD ALSO CAUSE NEW FLOODS ALONG IT AND OVER ITS DELTA.