Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00
Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48
Fax direction           02.62.92.11.47

WTIO20 FMEE 201200 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 20/02/2007 AT 1200 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 001/10 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: TUESDAY 20/02/2007 AT 1200 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 10 1000 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 14.8S / 74.8E (FOURTEEN DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY FOUR DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT: WEST 7 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 180 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, LOCALLY UP TO 500 NM IN THE NORTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 15/25 KT AND MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 120 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, LOCALLY REACHING 30 KT IN THE SOUTHERN SEMU-CIRCLE, UP TO 150 NM FROM THE CENTRE. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2007/02/21 AT 00 UTC: 15.2S / 73.0E, MAX WIND = 30 KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 24H, VALID 2007/02/21 AT 12 UTC: 15.4S / 71.0E, MAX WIND = 40 KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM. OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE SYSTEM IS QUICKLY ORGANIZING. IT IS EXPECTED TO GENERALLY TRACK WESTWARDS, AND KEEP ON REGULARLY INTENSIFYING. STRONGEST WINDS ARE LOCATED IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE, DUE TO THE GRADIENT EFFECT WITH THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES.