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WTIO24 FMEE 011800
SECURITE
STORM WARNING FOR METAREA VII
ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 01/03/2007 AT 1800 UTC.
WARNING NUMBER: 038/10 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT)
(WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND).
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA)
(INDICATIVE FIGURE).

STORM WARNING
BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: THURSDAY 01/03/2007 AT 1800 UTC.

PHENOMENON: SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 10 (GAMEDE) 980 HPA
POSITION: WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 30.1S / 48.6E
(THIRTY DECIMAL ONE DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY EIGHT DECIMAL SIX DEGREES EAST) AT 1800 UTC
MOVEMENT: SOUTH-WEST 4 KT

THREAT AREAS:
SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 300 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER, EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO 500 NM FROM THE CENTER IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT.

STORM FORCE WINDS 50/60KT AND HIGH TO VERY HIGH SEAS WITHIN 50 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER.
GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 150 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER, EXTENDING UP TO 250 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE.
NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 200 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER , EXTENDING UP TO 300 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE.
STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY:
12H, VALID 2007/03/02 AT 06 UTC:
30.5S / 48.1E, MAX WIND = 50 KT, BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL.
24H, VALID 2007/03/02 AT 18 UTC:
31.0S / 47.9E, MAX WIND = 50 KT, BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL.

OTHER INFORMATIONS:
GAMEDE IS LOSING ITS STRUCTURE RAPIDLY UNDERGOING A NORTHWESTERLY MODERATE BUT INCREASING VERTICAL WINDSHEAR AND LINKED TO COOLER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE.
THE CENTER IS NOW COMPLETLY EXPOSED ON THE NORTHWESTERN EDGE OF THE CONVECTION.
GAMEDE SHOULD STILL TRACK SOUTHSOUTHWESTWARDS SLOWING DOWN DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS, THEN DRIFTING VERY SLOWLY WEST-SOUTHWESTWARDS NEAR 32S WAITING FOR A TROUGH TO THE SOUTH FORSEEN AT MEDIUM RANGE.