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WTIO24 FMEE 020000
SECURITE
STORM WARNING FOR METAREA VII
ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 02/03/2007 AT 0000 UTC.
WARNING NUMBER: 039/10 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT)
(WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND).
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA)
(INDICATIVE FIGURE).

STORM WARNING
BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: FRIDAY 02/03/2007 AT 0000 UTC.

PHENOMENON: SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 10 (GAMEDE) 980 HPA
POSITION: WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF POINT 30.5S / 48.4E
(THIRTY DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY EIGHT DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC
MOVEMENT: SOUTH-WEST 4 KT

THREAT AREAS:
SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 300 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER, EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO 500 NM FROM THE CENTER IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT.

STORM FORCE WINDS 50KT AND HIGH TO VERY HIGH SEAS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER.
GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 130 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER, EXTENDING UP TO 200 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT.
NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 170 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER , EXTENDING UP TO 270 NM IN THE SOUTH-EASTERN QUADRANT.
STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY:
12H, VALID 2007/03/02 AT 12 UTC:
31.2S / 48.1E, MAX WIND = 50 KT, BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL.
24H, VALID 2007/03/03 AT 00 UTC:
31.6S / 48.2E, MAX WIND = 50 KT, EXTRATROPICAL.

OTHER INFORMATIONS:
GAMEDE IS LOSING ITS STRUCTURE RAPIDLY UNDERGOING A NORTHWESTERLY MODERATE BUT INCREASING VERTICAL WINDSHEAR AND LINKED TO COOLER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE.
THE CENTER IS NOW COMPLETLY EXPOSED ON THE NORTHWESTERN EDGE OF THE CONVECTION.
GAMEDE SHOULD STILL TRACK SOUTHSOUTHWESTWARDS SLOWING DOWN DURING THE NEXT 12 HOURS, THEN DRIFTING VERY SLOWLY NEAR 32S AND 48E WAITING FOR A TROUGH TOWARDS THE SOUTH FORSEEN AT MEDIUM RANGE.