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Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00
Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48
Fax direction           02.62.92.11.47


WTIO20 FMEE 220000
SECURITE
WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S)
ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 22/02/2007 AT 0000 UTC.
WARNING NUMBER: 003/11 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT)
(WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND).
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA)
(INDICATIVE FIGURE).

WARNING
BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: THURSDAY 22/02/2007 AT 0000 UTC.

PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 11 999 HPA
POSITION: WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 10.9S / 85.5E
(TEN DECIMAL NINE DEGREES SOUTH AND EIGHTY FIVE DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC
MOVEMENT: WEST-SOUTH-WEST 13 KT

THREAT AREAS:
SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS FROM THE ESTIMATED CENTER, EXTENDING UP TO 200 MN IN THE WESTERN SEMI-CIRCLE.

BROAD CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 20/25 KT AND MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTER, REACHING LOCALLY NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS UP TO 120 NM FROM THE CENTER IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE.

STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY:
12H, VALID 2007/02/22 AT 12 UTC:
12.0S / 83.5E, MAX WIND = 30 KT, TROP. DEPRESSION.
24H, VALID 2007/02/23 AT 00 UTC:
13.0S / 81.7E, MAX WIND = 35 KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM.

OTHER INFORMATIONS:
BROAD AND STILL POORLY DEFINED CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION. STRONGEST WINDS ARE LOCATED IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE DUE TO GRADIENT EFFECT WITH SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES.
AT THE MOMENT, THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS FLARING WEST OF THE LOW LEVEL CENTER.