Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00
Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48
Fax direction           02.62.92.11.47

WTIO20 FMEE 231200 SECURITE GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 23/02/2007 AT 1200 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 9/11 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: FRIDAY 23/02/2007 AT 1200 UTC. PHENOMENON: MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 11 (HUMBA) 987 HPA POSITION: 13.8S / 81.4E (THIRTEEN DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND EIGHTY ONE DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH-SOUTH-WEST 9 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 200 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER, EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO 400 NM FROM THE CENTER IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45KT AND VERY ROUGH SEAS TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 120 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER, EXTENDING UP TO 200 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2007/02/24 AT 00 UTC: 15.4S / 80.5E, MAX WIND = 55 KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 24H, VALID 2007/02/24 AT 12 UTC: 17.0S / 79.5E, MAX WIND = 60 KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE ENVIRONMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS NOT OPTIMUM YET FOR AN INTENSIFICATION, BUT IT IS EXPECTED TO IMPROVE SHORTLY IN UPPER LEVEL WITH TWO OUTFLOWS CHANNELS. THIS SYSTEM IS THUS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY GRADUALLY ALONG A PARABOLIC TRACK, SOUTHWESTWARDS AND THEN SOUTHWARDS.