Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00
Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48
Fax direction           02.62.92.11.47

WTIO22 FMEE 111200 SECURITE NEAR GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 11/03/2007 AT 1200 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 004/12 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). NEAR GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: SUNDAY 11/03/2007 AT 1200 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12 999 HPA POSITION: 13.5S / 59.0E (THIRTEEN DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY NINE DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT: QUASI-STATIONARY THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 70 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER, MAINLY IN THE SOUTHWESTERN SEMI-CIRCLE, EXTENDING UP TO 300 NM IN THE SOUTHWESETERN SEMI-CIRCLE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER, EXTENDING UP TO 30 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE, AND LOCALLY FAR FROMÙ THE CENTER IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2007/03/12 AT 00 UTC: 13.7S / 58.8E, MAX WIND = 30 KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 24H, VALID 2007/03/12 AT 12 UTC: 13.9S / 58.3E, MAX WIND = 35 KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM. OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE SYSTEM SHOWS NOW A SHEARED PATTERN, WITH THE CENTER COMPLETLY EXPOSED ON THE NORTHEASTERN EDGE OF THE CONVECTION. NEAR GALE FORCE EXTENSION IS GEATER IN THE SOUTH PART DUE TO THE GRADIANT WITH THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH. THE SYSTEM REMAINS QUASI-STATIONARY PRECESSING A SECONDARY LOOK, TRACKING VERY SLOWLY WESTWARDS. IT IS EXPECTED TO TRACK GLOBALLY WEST SOUTHWESTWARDS UP TO 12 TO 24 HOURS INTENSIFYING SLOWLY, AS THE UPPER LEVEL CONDITIONS IMPROVE WITH THE WEAKENING OF VERTICAL WIND SHEAR.