Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00
Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48
Fax direction           02.62.92.11.47

WTIO22 FMEE 141800 PAN PAN HURRICANE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 14/03/2007 AT 1800 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 017/12 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). HURRICANE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: WEDNESDAY 14/03/2007 AT 1800 UTC. PHENOMENON: INTENSE TROPICAL CYCLONE 12 (INDLALA) 935 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 14.8S / 51.0E (FOURTEEN DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY ONE DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST) AT 1800 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH-WEST 6 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 200 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS 65/95 KT AND VERY HIGH TO PHENOMENAL SEAS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER. STORM FORCE WINDS 50/60 KT AND HIGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 50 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 90 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 140 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER EXTENDING UP TO 180 NM IN THE SOUTEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2007/03/15 AT 06 UTC: 15.4S / 50.3E, MAX WIND = 90 KT, INTENSE TROP. CYCL.. 24H, VALID 2007/03/15 AT 18 UTC: 15.9S / 49.8E, MAX WIND = 80 KT, TROPICAL CYCLONE. OTHER INFORMATIONS: TAKING BENEFIT OF A FAVOURABLE ENVIRONMENT, "INDLALA" INTENSIFIED GRADUALLY DURING THE PAST 12 HOURS, THE 20 NM EYE IS NOW CONSOLIDATED. THE MAXIMUM WINDS EXTENSION IS IMPORTANT SOUTHEAST OF "INDLALA" DUE TO THE GRADIENT WITH THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH. THE INTENSE TROPICAL CYCLONE "INDLALA" IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL OVER MASOALA PENINSULA, IN THE VICINITY OF ANTALAHA, WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS. A SIGNIFICANT WEAKENING OF "INDLALA" IS FORSEEN ONLY AFTER 24 TO 36 HOURS, ONCE THE CYCLONE HAS GOT ACROSS ANTONGIL BAY.