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Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00
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WTIO24 FMEE 160000 CCA
*************** CORRECTIVE **************
SECURITE
GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VII
ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 16/03/2007 AT 0000 UTC.
WARNING NUMBER: 022/12 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT)
(WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND).
MINIMUM SEAS LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA)
(INDICATIVE FIGURE).

GALE WARNING
BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: FRIDAY 16/03/2007 AT 0000 UTC.

PHENOMENON: OVERLAND DEPRESSION 12 (EX-INDLALA)
POSITION: 16.3S / 48.5E
(SIXTEEN DECIMAL THREE DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY EIGHT DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC
MOVEMENT: WEST-SOUTH-WEST 8 KT

THREAT AREAS:
SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 250 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER, EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO 350NM IN THE MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL.

NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 80 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER EXTENDING UP TO 100 NM IN THE SOUTEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE, REACHING LOCALLY GALE FORCE WINDS 35/40KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS NEAR THE COASTS.
STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY:
12H, VALID 2007/03/16 AT 12 UTC:
16.7S / 47.3E, OVERLAND.
24H, VALID 2007/03/17 AT 00 UTC:
17.7S / 46.3E, OVERLAND.

OTHER INFORMATIONS:
INDLALA IS RAPIDLY WEAKENING OVERLAND.
OVER LAND, IT STILL GENERATES STORM FORCE WINDS NEAR THE CENTER, WITH GUSTS LOCALLY REACHING 150 KM/H, WILL OVERSEAS NEAR COASTLINES, MAX WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 40KT (70KM/H), WITH GUSTS AT 55KT (AROUND 100 KM/H).

VERY HEAVY RAINFALL OCCURE OVER ALL THE NORTH OF MADAGASCAR.

INDLALA IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN SIGNIFICANTLY OVERLAND DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
THEN, IF THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION IS NOT TOTALLY DISSIPATED, THE RESIDUAL VORTEX COULD COME BACK OVER SEAS IN THE SOUTHEAST OF MALAGASY WITHIN THE NEXT 48 TO 72 HOURS.