Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00
Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48
Fax direction           02.62.92.11.47

WTIO24 FMEE 160600 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VII ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 16/03/2007 AT 0600 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 023/12 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: FRIDAY 16/03/2007 AT 0600 UTC. PHENOMENON: OVERLAND DEPRESSION 12 (EX-INDLALA) POSITION: 16.1S / 47.6E (SIXTEEN DECIMAL ONE DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY SEVEN DECIMAL SIX DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT: WEST-SOUTH-WEST 6 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 200 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER, EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO 350NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 15/25 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS, REACHING LOCALLY NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT NEAR THE ESATERN COASTS OF MALAGASHY BETWEEN 15S AND 18S . STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2007/03/16 AT 18 UTC: 17.0S / 46.8E, OVERLAND. 24H, VALID 2007/03/17 AT 06 UTC: 18.5S / 46.4E, OVERLAND. OTHER INFORMATIONS: INDLALA IS RAPIDLY WEAKENING OVERLAND. VERY HEAVY RAINFALL OCCURE OVER ALL THE NORTH OF MADAGASCAR NORTH TO 20S. INDLALA IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN SIGNIFICANTLY OVERLAND DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. THEN, IF THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION IS NOT TOTALLY DISSIPATED, THE RESIDUAL VORTEX COULD COME BACK OVER SEAS IN THE SOUTHEAST OF MALAGASY WITHIN THE NEXT 48 TO 72 HOURS. LAST WARNING ABOUT THIS SYSTEM UNLESS REINTENSIFICATION