Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00
Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48
Fax direction           02.62.92.11.47

WTIO20 FMEE 291200 CCA *************** CORRECTIVE ************** SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 29/03/2007 AT 1200 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 001/14 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEAS LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: THURSDAY 29/03/2007 AT 1200 UTC. PHENOMENON: ZONE OF DISTURBED WEATHER 14 1004 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 12.9S / 69.0E (TWELVE DECIMAL NINE DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY NINE DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT: WEST 7 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 150 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER EXETNDING UP TO 230 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 20 KT AND MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS AROUND THE CENTER , LOCALLY REACHING NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 25/30KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2007/03/30 AT 00 UTC: 13.3S / 67.8E, MAX WIND = 25 KT, TROP. DISTURBANCE. 24H, VALID 2007/03/30 AT 12 UTC: 13.5S / 66.6E, MAX WIND = 30 KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. OTHER INFORMATIONS: ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE FORSEEN TO IMPROVE, WITH A CLEARLY WEAKENING VERTICAL WINDSHEAR WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS BUT INTENSIFICATION SHOULD PROBABLY BEGIN ONLY ON SATURDAY LINKED TO THE IMPROVING LOW LEVEL POLEWARD INFLOW IN RELATIONSHIP WITH THE REBUILDING SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES BELT. AT THIS STAGE, THIS SYSTEM DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF REGULAR WARNINGS.