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Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00
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Fax direction           02.62.92.11.47


WTIO20 FMEE 301200 CCA
*************** CORRECTIVE **************
SECURITE
GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S)
ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 30/03/2007 AT 1200 UTC.
WARNING NUMBER: 003/14 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT)
(WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND).
MINIMUM SEAS LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA)
(INDICATIVE FIGURE).

GALE WARNING
BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: FRIDAY 30/03/2007 AT 1200 UTC.

PHENOMENON: MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 14 (JAYA) 994 HPA
POSITION: 13.4S / 66.3E
(THIRTEEN DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY SIX DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC
MOVEMENT: WEST 5 KT

THREAT AREAS:
SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 100 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER EXETNDING UP TO 150 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE, AND UP TO 350 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT.

GALE FORCE WINDS 35/40 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER.
NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEA WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER.
STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS.


FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY:
12H, VALID 2007/03/31 AT 00 UTC:
13.4S / 65.0E, MAX WIND = 45 KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM.
24H, VALID 2007/03/31 AT 12 UTC:
13.7S / 63.7E, MAX WIND = 50 KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM.

OTHER INFORMATIONS:
THE SYSTEM SHOWS NOW A BANDING CURVED PATTERN. IT IS A SMALL SIZE SYSTEM, AND THE ESTIMATED PRESSION IS HIGHER THAN FOR AVERAGE SIZE.
SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO TRACK GLOBALLY WESTWARDS, NORTH TO THE REBUILDING SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES BELT.
SYSTEM IS FORECASTED TO INTENSIFY SLOWLY, AS ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS IMPROVE.