Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00
Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48
Fax direction           02.62.92.11.47

WTIO20 FMEE 301800 SECURITE GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 30/03/2007 AT 1800 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 004/14 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: FRIDAY 30/03/2007 AT 1800 UTC. PHENOMENON: MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 14 (JAYA) 987 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 13.6S / 65.7E (THIRTEEN DECIMAL SIX DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY FIVE DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES EAST) AT 1800 UTC MOVEMENT: WEST-SOUTH-WEST 6 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 100 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER EXTENDING UP TO 150 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE, AND UP TO 300 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 45 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2007/03/31 AT 06 UTC: 13.7S / 64.2E, MAX WIND = 55 KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 24H, VALID 2007/03/31 AT 18 UTC: 14.0S / 62.6E, MAX WIND = 60 KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. OTHER INFORMATIONS: THIS SMALL SIZE SYSTEM KEEPS ON TRACKING GLOBALLY WEST-SOUTHWESTWARDS, ON THE NORTHERN EDGE OF THE REBUILDING SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES BELT. JAYA IS FORSEEN TO INTENSIFY SLOWLY IN A FIRST TIME AND THEN BEYOND 48H TO 60 HOURS , IT SHOULD RECURVE NORTHWESTWARDS AND MORE CLEARLY INTENSIFY UNDER VERY FAVOURABLE ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS.