Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00
Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48
Fax direction           02.62.92.11.47

WTIO22 FMEE 021800 PAN PAN HURRICANE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 02/04/2007 AT 1800 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 016/14 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). HURRICANE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: MONDAY 02/04/2007 AT 1800 UTC. PHENOMENON: INTENSE TROPICAL CYCLONE 14 (JAYA) 945 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 15.2S / 52.7E (FIFTEEN DECIMAL TWO DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY TWO DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES EAST) AT 1800 UTC MOVEMENT: WEST 10 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 120 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS 65/90 KT AND VERY HIGH TO PHENOMENAL SEAS WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER. STORM FORCE WINDS 50/60 KT AND HIGH TO VERY HIGH SEAS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER, EXTENDING UP TO 40 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER, EXTENDING UP TO 90 NM FROM THE CENTER IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 90 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER, EXTENDING UP TO 120 NM FROM THE CENTER IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2007/04/03 AT 06 UTC: 15.4S / 50.8E, MAX WIND = 85 KT, TROPICAL CYCLONE. 24H, VALID 2007/04/03 AT 18 UTC: 15.5S / 48.6E, MAX WIND = 40 KT, OVERLAND. OTHER INFORMATIONS: "JAYA" KEEPS ON TRACKING WESTWARDS TOWARDS THE MALGASY COASTLINE. THE TROPICAL CYCLONE IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL IN THE VICINITY OF ANTALAHA TOMORROW MORNING. HEAVY RAINFALL AND STRONG WINDS ARE FORSEEN BETWEEN SAINTE MARIE AND FANAMBANA FOR THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.