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Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00
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WTIO22 FMEE 040600
SECURITE
WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S)
ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 04/04/2007 AT 0600 UTC.
WARNING NUMBER: 022/14 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT)
(WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND).
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA)
(INDICATIVE FIGURE).

WARNING
BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: WEDNESDAY 04/04/2007 AT 0600 UTC.

PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 14 (EX-JAYA) 1006 HPA
POSITION: 12.8S / 45.0E
(TWELVE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY FIVE DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC
MOVEMENT: WEST-NORTH-WEST 12 KT

THREAT AREAS:
SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS 100 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER, MAINLY IN THE WESTERN SEMI-CIRCLE, EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO 350 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER.


CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 20/25 KT AND MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 150 MN RADIUS OF THE ESTIMATED CENTRE, LOCALLY REACHING NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT.
STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS.


FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY:
12H, VALID 2007/04/04 AT 18 UTC:
13.3S / 42.9E, MAX WIND = 20 KT, TROP. DISTURBANCE.
24H, VALID 2007/04/05 AT 06 UTC:
14.4S / 41.3E, MAX WIND = 20 KT, TROP. DISTURBANCE.

OTHER INFORMATIONS:
THE SYSTEM IS BACK OVER WATER, BUT IT IS FULLY DISORGANIZED AND UNDERGOING A MODERATE WESTWARDS VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. THE CENTRE HAS BEEN RECOLATED NORTHWARDS IN THE VICINITY OF MAYOTTE.
THIS IS THE LAST WARNING ABOUT THIS SYSTEM UNLESS REINTENSIFICATION.