Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00
Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48
Fax direction           02.62.92.11.47

WTIO24 FMEE 071200 CCA *************** CORRECTIVE ************** SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VII ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 07/04/2007 AT 1200 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 023/14 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEAS LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: SATURDAY 07/04/2007 AT 1200 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 14 (EX-JAYA) 1008 HPA POSITION: 18.3S / 40.0E (EIGHTEEN DECIMAL THREE DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH-EAST 5 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 50 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 250 NM IN THE EASTEN SEMI-CIRCLE.. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 15/20 KT AND MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 50 MN RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, LOCALLY REACHING 25/30 KT IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE UP TO 120 NM FROM THE CENTRE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2007/04/08 AT 00 UTC: 18.4S / 40.4E, MAX WIND = 20 KT, TROP. DISTURBANCE. 24H, VALID 2007/04/08 AT 12 UTC: 18.5S / 41.0E, MAX WIND = 20 KT, TROP. DISTURBANCE. OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE LOW LEVEL CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION CENTRE IS PARTIALLY EXPOSED WEST OF THE MAIN CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY. THE SYSTEM TRACKS ON THE NORTHERN EDGE OF A STRONGER EASTERLY WINDSHEAR AREA, UNFAVOURABLE FOR A REINTENSIFICATION. SYSTEM INTENSITY DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF REGULAR WARNINGS.