Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00
Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48
Fax direction           02.62.92.11.47

WTIO20 FMEE 160600 SECURITE STORM WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 16/11/2007 AT 0600 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 004/02 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). STORM WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: FRIDAY 16/11/2007 AT 0600 UTC. PHENOMENON: SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 2 (ARIEL EX-LEE) 980 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 11.6S / 88.4E (ELEVEN DECIMAL SIX DEGREES SOUTH AND EIGHTY EIGHT DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT: WEST-SOUTH-WEST 6 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 150 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO 200 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STORM FORCE WINDS 50 KT AND HIGH SEAS WITHIN 15 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 25 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER EXTENDING UP TO 90 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER EXTENDING UP TO 130 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2007/11/16 AT 18 UTC: 11.8S / 87.3E, MAX WIND = 55 KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 24H, VALID 2007/11/17 AT 06 UTC: 11.9S / 86.2E, MAX WIND = 55 KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE TRACK IS MORE WESTSOUTHWESTARDS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS, AND THEN SHOULD TURN SOUTHWESTWARDS AND SLOWING DOWN (WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE) POTENTIAL FOR INTENSIFICATION REMAINS LIMITED DUE TO LESS FAVOURABLE ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS.