Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00
Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48
Fax direction           02.62.92.11.47

WTIO20 FMEE 170600 SECURITE NEAR GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 17/11/2007 AT 0600 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 008/02 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). NEAR GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: SATURDAY 17/11/2007 AT 0600 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 2 (EX-ARIEL) 997 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 11.6S / 87.5E (ELEVEN DECIMAL SIX DEGREES SOUTH AND EIGHTY SEVEN DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT: QUASI-STATIONARY THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 100 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER EXTENDING UP TO 330 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 20 TO 30 KT AROUND THE CENTER OF ARIEL. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI CIRCLE EXTENDING UP TO 100 NM IN THE SOUTHWESTERN QUADRANT AND UP 120 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. LOCALLY GALE FORCE WINDS 35 KT IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2007/11/17 AT 18 UTC: 12.0S / 87.1E, MAX WIND = 30 KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 24H, VALID 2007/11/18 AT 06 UTC: 12.3S / 86.6E, MAX WIND = 30 KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. OTHER INFORMATIONS: ARIEL IS QUASI-STATIONNARY SINCE 1800UTC AND THE CENTER HAS BEEN RELOCATED EASTWARDS THIS MORNING THANKS TO NEW AVAILABLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. SYSTEM KEEPS ON WEAKENING AND REINTENSIFICATION SEEMS TO BE UNLIKELY AT THIS STAGE.. IT SHOULD CONTINU TO MOVE VERY SLOWLY DURING THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS (ERRATIC MOTION IS POSSIBLE) BEFORE ACCELERATING A LITTLE BIT WESTWARDS AS IT DISSIPATE AS A REMNANT LOW.