Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00
Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48
Fax direction           02.62.92.11.47

WTIO20 FMEE 181800 CCA *************** CORRECTIVE ************** SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 18/11/2007 AT 1800 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 014/02 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEAS LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: SUNDAY 18/11/2007 AT 1800 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 2 (EX-ARIEL) 1000 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF POINT 12.5S / 87.8E (TWELVE DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND EIGHTY SEVEN DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES EAST) AT 1800 UTC MOVEMENT: EAST-NORTH-EAST 4 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS UP TO 200 NM FROM THE CENTRE, MAINLY IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT, EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO MORE THAN 1000 MN OF THE CENTER IN THE NORTHWESTERN QUADRANT UP TO THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION N3 DEEPENING EAST OF CHAGOS ISLANDS. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 20/25 KT AND MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS AROUND THE CENTER, REACHING VERY LOCALLY NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2007/11/19 AT 06 UTC: 12.6S / 88.3E, MAX WIND = 25 KT, TROP. DISTURBANCE. 24H, VALID 2007/11/19 AT 18 UTC: 13.0S / 88.5E, MAX WIND = 20 KT, TROP. DISTURBANCE. OTHER INFORMATIONS: **** CORRECTIVE ISSUED DUE TO A FALSE POSITION FOR THE H+12 FORECASTED ONE **** STRONG WINDS ARE PRESENT IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI CIRCLE BY GRADIENT EFFECT WITH THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. LAST WARNING RELATED TO THIS SYSTEM UNLESS RE-INTENSIFICATION BUT IT REMAINS CLOSELY MONITORED (MARINE BULLETIN FQIO25 FMEE AND BULLETIN FOR CYCLONIC ACTIVITY AWIO20 FMEE)